Singapore Bullion Market Association

Article List

Article List

WGC – MIDDLE EAST UPDATE

By ANDREW NAYLOR, Head of Middle East and Public Policy, World Gold Council

In early August the World Gold Council (WGC) published its Gold Demand Trends report for Q2 2025. In this year’s second quarter, strong investment flows drove total annual gold demand (inc. OTC) 3% higher year-on-year to 1,249 tonnes, reaching a record of US$132 billion in value terms.
This increase in global gold buying was driven by a 78% year-on-year increase in investment demand, due to sizeable inflows into ETFs and decent growth in bar and coin demand, led by Asian and European investors.
Global bar and coin investment increased 11% y/y, to 307 tonnes, despite a mild q/q slowdown, and it was the strongest H1 since 2013.

Notable regional bar and coin demand insights

Consumer Bar and Coin Demand - Y/Y Change (2025Q2)

WGC MIDDLE EAST UPDATEConsumer Bar and Coin Demand WGC
% change in consumer bar and coin demand (year on year for 2025Q2) Source: Gold Demand Trends 2025Q2, World Gold Council, Metals Focus
  • China led the way with a 44% increase to 115 tonnes.
  • Indian demand totalled 46 tonnes in Q2, the eighth consecutive quarter of buying.
  • European demand more than doubled y/y to 28 tonnes, led by German investors.
  • US bar and coin demand halved to 9 tonnes, the lowest since Q4 2019.
  • Middle Eastern demand was healthy at 31 tonnes, concealing a mixed picture in different countries across the region.
  • Singapore bar and coin demand was up 22% y/y.
As they have done so for many years, central banks also played a role in driving gold’s performance. 166 tonnes was added to central bank gold reserves in the second quarter. This was at a slightly slower pace than recent quarters but is still up 41% on the 2010-2021 average. The outlook for central bank buying remains encouraging – when we surveyed central banks earlier this year, respondents overwhelmingly (95%) believed that global central bank gold reserves would increase over the next 12 months. Gold’s performance during times of crisis, portfolio diversification and inflation hedging are some key themes driving plans to accumulate more gold over the coming year. In addition, gold’s unique characteristics and role as a strategic asset continue to be valued by central banks: its performance in times of crisis, ability to act as a store of value, and its role as an effective diversifier, continue to be cited as key reasons for an allocation to gold.

its performance in times of crisis, ability to act as a store of value, and its role as an effective diversifier, continue to be cited as key reasons for an allocation to gold.

To get a better understanding of what is driving gold’s recent performance, the WGC’s Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM) suggests a positive contribution from a rise in inflation expectations and tariff tensions via the model’s geopolitical risk metric (both risk and uncertainty factors). Momentum factors also contributed positively, while a stronger US dollar proved a heavy drag on returns in July.

Middle East Gold Demand

Gold has a long history in the Middle East. It was the ancient Egyptians that perfected the use of gold as an adornment to symbolise wealth and power. Over time it was used to barter, followed by the introduction of gold coinage in Lydia, in present-day Turkey. Mining, refining and jewellery fabrication techniques were developed in the region, and many of these techniques form the basis of gold extraction and processing technologies still used today. Whilst gold no longer serves as a currency, as in the rest of the world, it is used as an investment and adornment. For many years now the Middle East has been the third largest consumption centre for gold in the world, after China and India. Our recent GDT report confirms this. In 2024 the Middle East (excluding Turkey) consumed 281 tonnes of gold, more than twice the amount of Europe (134 tonnes). Demand was down slightly in the last quarter, primarily because jewellery still dominates the market and was more impacted by the elevated gold prices. Jewellery accounts for approximately 60% of regional gold demand but it is investment demand that is seeing the growth. This is partly a reflection of the influx if HNWIs into the UAE in particular, but also the growing access to gold through digital channels across the region.

% Consumer Demand - Middle East (2024)

WGC MIDDLE EAST UPDATEConsumer Bar and Coin Demand WGC
% breakdown of jewellery and bar/coin demand in the Middle East Source: Gold Demand Trends 2025Q2, World Gold Council, Metals Focus

Developments the United Arab Emirates

At the centre of the Middle East gold market is the UAE. It is now the second largest cross-border physical trading hub after Switzerland. With no gold deposits of its own, it acts as a trading centre for the processing of gold for onward export, and as a major jewellery wholesale and retail destination. To strengthen compliance in the sector the country has introduced several reforms. The gold sector is now overseen at the federal level, and the Ministry of Economy and Federal Government has in recent years introduced several key pieces of legislation:
  • Decree Law No. (20) of 2018 On Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism and Illegal Organisations – acts as the foundational legislation setting out the structure, obligations and framework for tackling money laundering in the UAE. Subsequent editions to the legislation, including 2019 Cabinet Resolution 10, clarify the requirements for the DNFPB sector, including the gold industry. This includes CDD and EDD requirements, reporting suspicious transactions via the UNODC-developed “goAML” platform, and undertaking periodic AML risk assessments, amongst other requirements.
  • Due Diligence Regulations for Responsible Sourcing of Gold (2022) – requires all – and not just UAE Good Delivery – refineries operating onshore to comply with the OECD Due Diligence Guidelines. Since 2024 refineries have had to submit mandatory third-party audits on their compliance with the provisions.
  • UAE Good Delivery – UAED replaced Dubai Good Delivery and is a voluntary accreditation for both onshore and offshore refineries covering the financial health, operating history, and technical capabilities (including capacity) of the refinery. Benefits of UAEDG accreditation include delivering onto the Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange and supplying feedstock to India under the terms of the UAE-India CEPA (onshore UAEDG refineries only). Oversight of this now sits with the Emirates Bullion Committee – a federal body covering the whole of the UAE.
To help ensure compliance with the new rules, the WGC is working with the Ministry of Economy on the development of an AML training programme specific to the dealers in precious metals sector. The sector is broad, and includes multinational companies at one end of the scale, and much smaller individual sole traders at the other end. By creating a training programme specific to the needs of the sector we are hoping to further raise standards, support compliance, and encourage further formalisation.

WGC Middle East Work Programme

In addition to the focus on enhancing AML/CFT compliance we have a number of ongoing flagship initiatives in the region:
  • Increasing consumer protection through the introduction of the WGC’s Retail Gold Investment Principles in the UAE.
  • Supporting professional development through the running of the Gold Industry Training Programme in Dubai and Istanbul.
  • Undertaking consumer insights research to better understand gold buying behaviour and preferences in the UAE.
  • Working with the Dubai Jewellery Group on a programme to identify and support young jewellery designers based in the Emirates.

The Middle East is a major gold market and the growth of the region is powering the gold industry across the GCC and beyond.

The Middle East is a major gold market and the growth of the region is powering the gold industry across the GCC and beyond. This is evidenced by the growing gold trading links between the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Since establishing a presence several years ago, a targeted programme of support has been launched to enhance standards in the gold market, implement international best practice, and promote the growth of a sustainable and responsible gold market.
ANDREW NAYLOR joined the World Gold Council in 2016. He leads the Council’s regional office in the UAE and heads up public policy initiatives globally. He was previously head of APAC (ex-China) and based in Singapore. He was also part of the central banks and public policy team and led the Council’s Islamic finance initiative. Before joining the World Gold Council, Andrew worked for the international consultancy firm Cicero Group advising financial institutions on foreign investment and trade policy in Asia and the global regulatory reform agenda.